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lead lead hypothesis

The Belgian 2003 election count said to have gained exactly 4096 votes

? 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 one bit, worth 4096 claimed, not established
What the account claims. Nothing here is established.

An account circulates that an electronic voting machine in the 2003 Belgian federal election credited one candidate with 4096 extra votes, a power of two, and that the discrepancy was attributed to a single-event upset from cosmic radiation. No claim is made here about the count, the attribution, or whether any investigation reached that conclusion.

Scores

Editorial judgements on a 0 to 10 scale, argued in the notes below and nowhere else. They order a list. They are not evidence and they never appear in a claim.

wtf
7
denial
8
damage
6

The falsehood underneath 1

Notes

Triage questions. Find the official Belgian report or parliamentary record rather than the conference slide that usually carries this. Was 4096 the figure, and was it a bit flip in a counter or a bit flip in a transmitted total. Crucially: did anyone establish cosmic radiation as the cause, or was it the only hypothesis left standing after others were excluded, which is a different and weaker claim. This lead is a strong candidate for the falsehood pile rather than the incident pile: the number being a power of two is suggestive, not probative.

Sources 0

None reviewed yet. That is why this one is not in the catalog.

voting · hardware · single-event-upset · historical-lead